Saturday, November 5, 2011

GE Mark 1 Nuclear Reactors in the US


The following lists the Mark 1 reactors in the United
States, according to data from the NRC and the Nuclear
Information and Resource Service, which is opposed to nuclear
power and is critical of the Mark 1 design.
Reactor            Location            Size (MW)     Year
Browns Ferry 1     Decatur, AL           1065        1974
Browns Ferry 2     Decatur, AL           1104        1975
Browns Ferry 3     Decatur, AL           1105        1977
Brunswick 1        Southport, NC          938        1976
Brunswick 2        Southport, NC          920        1975
Cooper             Nebraska City, NE      770        1974
Dresden 2          Morris, IL             867        1970
Dresden 3          Morris, IL             867        1971
Duane Arnold       Cedar Rapids, IA       580        1975
Hatch 1            Baxley, GA             876        1975
Hatch 2            Baxley, GA             883        1979
Fermi 2            Monroe, MI            1122        1988
Hope Creek         Hancock's Brdg, NJ    1161        1986
Fitzpatrick        Oswego, NY             854        1976
Monticello         Monticello, MN         572        1971
Nine Mile Point 1  Oswego, NY             621        1969
Oyster Creek       Toms River, NJ         615        1969
Peach Bottom 2     Lancaster, PA         1112        1974
Peach Bottom 3     Lancaster, PA         1112        1974
Pilgrim            Plymouth, MA           685        1972
Quad Cities 1      Moline, IL             867        1972
Quad Cities 2      Moline, IL             867        1972
Vermont Yankee     Vernon, VT             620        1972

Near Miss Asteroid

Probably as we get better at detecting objects in space, we will know of more and more threats to impact. In the past, there have likely been plenty of "near misses" that we didn't even know about.

Asteroid YU55 is about 400M diameter and going to whiz by between the earth and the moon, on Tuesday the 8th of November.

http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news171.html

So this won't be a hit, but there could be some type of effects, especially as this will occur close to the full moon.    In August, Comet Honda passed by and there were big earthquakes.

I did an analysis of Earthquake in proximity to previous encounters with Comet Honda, and the correlation was startling.    That analysis is here.

http://oahutrading.blogspot.com/2011/08/comet-honda-causing-earthquakes.html


And as if we didn't have more to worry about than international banksters invading Hawaii and shutting down the main Highway (only Highway) at unknown times during a whole week, totally disrupting business so the banksters can travel freely between their luxury hotels 25 miles away to meetings in Waikiki, indeed this is true....

http://www.civilbeat.com/topics/apec-2011-hawaii-survival-guide/

As if that wasn't enough, now we have the largest sunspot observed in years, around 24 times the size of the earth.   

SpaceWeather.com warns that a huge sunspot like AR1339 comes with a large potential for solar flares. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecasts a 50 percent chance of medium-class M solar flares over the next 24 hours due to this sunspot.

Flares are also accompanied by flows of charged particles out into space, called coronal mass ejections, which can wreak havoc on satellites and power grids on Earth if they head our way.

Trade ideas and Financial analysis, up 37% in about 2 months

This financial analysis of trade ideas from Breakpoint Trades is pretty good, although the reality of it is that probably no one could actually jump onto all these trades at the right time. So 37% in 2 month is probably not achievable, but what if you could take 20% in 2 months, that wouldn't be bad.

The tape slam dance that so affects the broad markets is tough to trade. It is easier to make money on individual issues with good charts/patterns.

consider signing up for Breakpoint Trades (BPT), and it costs you nothing more to use the link on the upper right on my blog, but it does help me keep bringing free stuff to this blog, BPT often lets me post weekend newsletters and trade ideas.


Thursday, November 3, 2011

Sniper and the Weekly Options Sell Spread Trades

Matrix lining up for the downside next week (early). Looking to do bear call credit spreads on the weekly SPY tomorrow.
Posted: 11:37AM Nov 4, 2011
Rating: +1
can you give me an example of one of your trades? I am interested in doing a bear call credit spread.

thanks
Posted: 1:51PM Nov 4, 2011
Rating: +1
OK..SPY is trading at 126.25. Sell the SPY 126 call for $202 and buy the 127 SPY call for $154 (this is the bid and the actual asked at close on the weekly SPY options that expire in one week from tomorrow). So your net credit would be the difference which is $48. Your risk in the trade is that SPY closes above 127 at expiration and you would lose $52 on the trade.
Posted: 1:57PM Nov 4, 2011
Rating: 0
perfect...thank you

Q: if SPY was to close next week @124 how do I make money?
Posted: 2:43PM Nov 4, 2011
Rating: 0

Boatload O Trade Ideas

Very busy on day job, no time to research my own individual stock trade ideas, so I get some from BreakPoint Trades.     Use the link on the right side of my blog to sign up for their service, it is the best there is, at very reasonable cost, $40 per month.    Last week I slammed a $1500 profit in 2 days using one of their trade ideas that I would otherwise never have seen.   Let's see that pays for 40 months of membership in 2 days....hmmm, plus a great active private blog with no trolls.




The next bubble?

Old school power/control/corruption wants to profit from so called Green Energy.

We see it everywhere, old school trying to push into green energy fields, effectively raising costs while product costs drops dramatically.

Utitlies are highly motivated to maintain power and control wherever they can.

Having 80,000,000 houses that could effectively power themselves would be their greatest nightmare. 

Control of water, food, shelter, and power is the most important factors for the old school Government / Utility  group to control the peoples that they are crushing through bad management and profit extraction. 

They want to control tie-in to the grid, and obfuscate that difficulty in order to maintain power and control, while smoke screening "smart grid" which is by nature vague enough that ample shenanigans can be played.

? Power to the people ? Will be fought at every level.    Get some if you can.

And try to profit by following the 800 Gorillas as they try to profit from the so-called "Smart Grid", which is likely to be at least a big a boondoogle as Ethanol.

S&P 500 channels (using ES as proxy) and Russell Long Term View

Sign up as follower, klik, leave a comment.   Taking action makes for a good day, LOL!

Big Picture Russell Says This Puppy is fit to be a roasted corndog.  Green line is perfect backtest of the 2011 H&S Top, and a basic overthrow on the 61 Fibo.   Although, seems like 78% Fibo is almost obligatory these days.   Going back to 78 Fibo as a Santa Rally would also be a perfect 4% overthrow on the head and shoulders retrace, in the grand plan of deception, that is "Perfect", as it will convince the H&S watching bears that he H&S is a failed pattern, and then Lucy Pulls the Ball away from Charlie Brown, AGAIN!



ES shows great respect for the Bernoulli Channels I have drawn

Here is todays view of the Triangulation aka Pre-Stangulation

Tuesday, November 1, 2011

PIIGS Chart of Gov Bonds

By The Way, Signup as a follower, and Klik some Adz! Got it? thanks.






Charts of all the PIIGS Gov bonds, 2 year

Egg of Doom Nov 2011

Search for previous Eggs of Doom

Zurich Axioms (orig posted by MarketSniper on Slope)

On Risk:
- Worry is not a sickness but a sign of health – if you are not worried, you are not risking enough.
- Always play for meaningful stakes – if an amount is so small that its loss won’t make any significant difference, then it isn’t likely to bring any significant gains either.
- Resist the allure of diversification.

On Greed:
- Always take your profit too soon.
- Decide in advance what gain you want from a venture, and when you get it, get out.

On Hope:
- When the ship starts sinking, don’t pray. Jump.
- Accept small losses cheerfully as a fact of life. Expect to experience several while awaiting a large gain.

On Forecasts:
- Human behaviour cannot be predicted. Distrust anyone who claims to know the future, however dimly.

On Patterns:
- Chaos is not dangerous until it starts to look orderly.
- Beware the historian’s trap – it is based on the age-old but entirely unwarranted belief that the orderly repetition of history allows for accurate forecasting in certain situations.
- Beware the chartist’s illusion – it is characteristic of human minds to perceive links of cause and effect where none exist.
- Beware the gambler’s fallacy – there’s no such thing as “Today’s my lucky day” or “I’m hot tonight”.

On Mobility:
- Avoid putting down roots. They impede motion.
- Do not become trapped in a souring venture because of sentiments like loyalty and nostalgia.
- Never hesitate to abandon a venture if something more attractive comes into view.

On Intuition:
- A hunch can be trusted if it can be explained.
- Never confuse a hunch with a hope.

On the Occult:
- If astrology worked, all astrologers would be rich.
- A superstition need not be exorcised. It can be enjoyed, provided it is kept in its place.

On Optimism & Pessimism:
- Optimism means expecting the best, but confidence mean knowing how you will handle the worst. Never make a move if you are merely optimistic.

On Consensus:
- Disregard the majority opinion. It is probably wrong.
- Never follow speculative fads. Often, the best time to buy something is when nobody else wants it.

On Stubbornness:
- If it doesn’t pay off the first time, forget it.
- Never try to save a bad investment by “averaging down”.

On Planning:
- Long-range plans engender the dangerous belief that the future is under control. It is important never to take your own long-range plans or other people’s seriously. In essence these axioms point to the benefit of having an investment strategy and sticking to it, regardless of what other investors say or do. If you don’t have an investment strategy, you could do worse than adopt these principles. However, don’t be afraid to add or subtract ones according to what works for you.
http://www.michaelcovel.com/2004/09/03/the-zurich-axioms/

Cable Long, Waiting on Gold Long Egg Bounce

The incredible egg, a tasty combination of price and time.

Gold long is a good short term call, but if I take it, may have to endure some downside pain after an initial up move.   I hate that.  

Will wait a few days.

completely changing my opinion, now in a long Cable position.


Great British Pound / USD aka "The Cable", backtest and then down

These perfect backtests are the strongest signals for me.   Yet they often occur during a time when a "contrarian" would otherwise expect and opposite move.

So for this you can't just be Opposite George, you have to outthink your Opposite George.

And go short Cable, although between the US close and Europe open, the markets are just a little lost sheep, being chased to and fro by the barking wolves in the nearby woods.


Bernoulli Channels are ruling

ES is underneath 2 important Bernoulli channels and forming a bear flag, I went full tilt BEAR!


Put call rose up to Bear Slapping heights at end of day yesterday

 Yesterday I saw the put call go very high, almost to the "Bear Slap" Box.

Also, we identified Non Fear as going sky high, on a parabolic bubble.

http://oahutrading.blogspot.com/2011/10/fear-factor-bubble-in-non-fear.html

Monday, October 31, 2011

Monday Charts

Just last month we were at 1068 on the ES, a historic rise, crushing bears when the put/call was at a decades long high. In broad daylight, bears were robbed and it appears to be legal.

Last Wednesday I wrote:
When Gold and SPX both go up, almost equally, it may just be a anti-USD correlation, or it may mean that fear and flight to US assets are both occuring. 

Bucky is in a serious downsloping wedge,  likely it break upward and pretty soon, say 1 week or less.
Here is that link
 http://oahutrading.blogspot.com/2011/10/bucky-up-buckle-up.html

Although things are very bullish, this pullback could be constructive prior to heading into Santa rally. The HBB boyz love their bonuses.

But with everyone so bullish, and the put call at low levels not seen in a while, this drop could extend, and the B177 black downtrend line, was respected, i.e. it caused the drop in ES.
Trade well, protect capital, but not with too tight of stops!




Sunday, October 30, 2011

Knowledge Quiz - Win a Free Month Membership to Breakpoint Trades!

Free Newsletter and Foreign Market Analysis

Plagarism, smarts the old fashioned way, we stole it!

The first chart contributed by Doctor J, a real elliot wave technician who also screen caps female forms onto charts, quite amazing.    The dogs here are by me though.

From Breakpoint Trades.     Seriously, with one silly trade idea last week, and using only $15,000 I banked over $1500 in 2 days, that pays for 3 years of monthly dues.

Sign up, and use the link on my blog on the upper right, it helps me out.

http://www.box.net/shared/kzjre0c1x3ksgbxrgypl

FEAR FACTOR Bubble in NON-FEAR

HINT: this is an advertising supported site.   It is pretty much free, how much does a Klik cost you?    THANKS!!!!!!!!!   

And I noticed from my SiteMeter (we hit 186,000 visits today) alot of new people showing up here.    SIGN-UP as a follower, costs nothing, lets you easily review new posts on a news reader/aggregator, and may just keep me motivated to keep posting and coming up with new ideas.

Use the link on the upper right to sign up as a follower

Your Briefing on

FEAR FACTOR (FF)

When FF goes downward, that is increasing fear.   FF often leads the market.    When FF keeps going down, although equiteis markets are floating like a helium PIIG, that is time to watch out below.

Right now we have a total bubble in "NON FEAR"  Bubbles never end well.   Just ask Silver.

Cable on an important Channel Line --Swat Down? Bernoulli


These Bernoulli Channels really contain the movements and show changes in trend.   Also, many people look for double tops (part of the DRTV pattern search my site for that), but in reality the double tops often happen on an angled trendline, like shown here.  

The Peach line is a channel extension line equal to (4/3) to the (4/3) power.   That equation is often a "catch line.    It marks a deception overthrow of the yellow line which is the 4/3 channel extension which I have coined at the Bernoulli 133 or B133 for short.

Bottom line, short Cable

From Daneric







From Cobra



Leadership in question

http://oahutrading.blogspot.com/2010/12/fear-factor_12.html#disqus_thread

On the link above, scroll down to picture of new governor in straw hat.    I had a feeling this wasn't going to be good, and unfortunately I was right.

Also look at the Governor's right hand man (on the left), in purple.   

Hawaii's Governor now has the lowest approval rating in the United States.   And in this age of rampant corruption throughout the system, that low is a real low.  

From legislator to executive.
That was the jump former Congressman Neil Abercrombie made last year when he sailed to victory as a candidate who listened to the people.
Once in office, something changed. The guy who crusaded as a congressman found himself having to lead as a governor.
It hasn't gone too well. We learned last week that the governor has the lowest approval rating in the nation.
Now the question is whether the governor will listen to what the public is saying.
The Civil Beat Poll, just completed on Sunday night, delivers a strong message: 63 percent of likely voters said that the governor is doing a worse job than they expected when he was elected last November. Just 15 percent said he was doing a better job, with 14 percent saying his performance was what they expected (that doesn't necessarily mean they approve of it) and 8 percent unsure.
The automated telephone poll of 1,152 likely voters was conducted on Oct. 20 and 23. The sampling margin of error is +/- 3 percent.
"I feel like Richard FariƱa — 'I've been down so long it feels like up to me,'" the governor told Civil Beat in an interview Wednesday, quoting the '60s folksinger.

Dogs on Halloween

Quite a few people dress up their pets on Halloween, 10% to 20%. Silly, sure!
Fun, sure!